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Columbia, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Columbia MO
National Weather Service Forecast for: Columbia MO
Issued by: National Weather Service Saint Louis, MO
Updated: 1:41 am CDT Aug 11, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Chance
T-storms

Monday

Monday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. South wind 5 to 7 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Tuesday

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the morning.
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Calm wind.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Wednesday

Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Partly Cloudy

Thursday

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Slight Chance
Showers

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Mostly Clear

Lo 70 °F Hi 86 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 86 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 86 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 70 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Overnight
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Monday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. South wind 5 to 7 mph.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Calm wind.
Wednesday
 
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Thursday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Thursday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 91.
Friday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 72.
Saturday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 72.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 91.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Columbia MO.

Weather Forecast Discussion
957
FXUS63 KLSX 110332
AFDLSX

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1032 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms through at
  least the middle of the week before the chance decreases towards
  next weekend.

- Temperatures will remain near or just above normal for the
  middle of August.


&&

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Monday Night)
Issued at 348 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

I have dropped the Flood Watch over the northern CWA where I no
longer expect widespread thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall.
There will still be a chance of showers and thunderstorms over
northeast Missouri and west central Missouri through tomorrow
morning, however the threat for flash flooding has decreased in this
area.

A band of showers and thunderstorms continues to develop across
eastern Missouri into far southwest Illinois this afternoon in a
band of low level moisture convergence in an area of MUCAPES of 2000-
3000+ J/kg with little CINH.  The RAP is showing this area of
convergence will weaken in the next few hours which should cause the
area to also gradually diminish by early this evening.  Until then,
there will continue to be the threat of one or two severe
thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds and also locally
heavy rainfall given PWATS near 2" and slow storm movement.
Additional thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening over
central Missouri along the eastern edge of the low level jet.  This
axis will stay to our west keeping the heaviest precipitation and
best chances for rain to our west into tomorrow. There will be
additional chances for showers and thunderstorms to redevelop over
the area during daytime heating on Monday afternoon when MLCAPES
climb into the 1500-2500+ J/kg range.

Highs on Monday will range from the low to mid 80s over northeast
Missouri and west central Illinois to around 90 in around from I-70
southward.

Britt

&&

.LONG TERM...  (Tuesday through Next Sunday)
Issued at 348 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

There has not been much change in the thinking in the forecast for
this week as the LREF is showing the upper trough lifting into the
Great Lakes by midweek with the pattern becoming more amplified
toward the weekend as a upper high builds over the southern CONUS.
The trough will initially be supportive of shower and
thunderstorm development, particularly during afternoon and early
evening hours Tuesday and Wednesday before chances lower into next
weekend as upper heights rise over the area. We will be in a
highly unstable, weakly sheared atmosphere in the warm sector, and
available guidance (CIPS, CSU, and ML) are all pointing to low
chances for severe weather indicating any strong storms may only
produce isolated gusty winds. There still may be some locally
heavy rainfall into at least Tuesday as the LREF is showing PWATS
around 1.75".

High temperatures across the area this week will range from the mid
80s to the mid 90s with a slow climb in temperatures toward the
weekend as the upper high begins to build over the area.  Heat
indexes will also start to climb toward the end of the week with
some areas reaching around 100 degrees by Friday and Saturday.

Britt

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Monday Night)
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

VFR conditions dominate the next 24 hours with a light southeast
wind. The main forecast concern is the potential for thunderstorms
which exists mainly from central Missouri potentially up toward
Quincy during the early morning hours.

Kimble

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

$$

WFO LSX
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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